Current situation: President Trump doesn't believe in useless climate deals based on complex, multivariate models that claim to predict the temperature of the planet for the next 80 years, whereas the more pro-science Democrats don't believe walls work.
— Scott Adams (@ScottAdamsSays) February 3, 2019
012 Podcast announces end to its armed campaign from August 5, 2005
/
RSS Feed
In this week’s edition of Shire Network News, the official podcast of Silent Running, Our Man in London reports that Tony Blair is apparently taking advice from Scott Burgess, Harry and a few other bloggers on how to handle Jihadi inciters.
We go to Baghdad to speak to Omar, from Iraq the Model, about blogging from a war zone, and why what you see on your TV screen is most assuredly not the full picture.
As always we bring you the Full of Crap Report from Laurence Simon, at the end of which I practically beg him to get me a gig on the much bigger and more popular IMAO Podcast. It’s true, I have no shame, and there are no depths to which I will not sink in order to get some fame. What I really want to do eventually is direct though…
And finally we travel to the land of leprechauns, jigs, shamrocks, and…uh…kneecappings. Mick Fealty, the man behind the essential Northern Ireland blog/news portal Slugger O’Toole joins us to talk about the IRA‘s announcement it’s giving up it’s “armed struggle”, and what this means for the future of the province. Anything that means less media coverage for Ted Kennedy’s bloviating is fine with me.
If you derive value from my work, please consider donating some value my way. You can find all the details on the donation page.
Economic forecasting or climate forecasting: which is worse?
It’s hard to tell which “science” is more often wrong: economic forecasting or climate forecasting. Predict, 165,000 – get 304,000. Epic fail.
Every month economists make forecasts about all sorts of things. They use complex computer models filled with invented algorithms into which they feed observations of market movements and any other data they can lay their hands on. At the end the spit out predictions. Which are, pretty regularly, epic fails. Just because the outcome is better than expectation, missing with a prediction by 100% makes that original prediction completely useless and anyone who took action based on that prediction looks like a fool.
The claims made by computer modelling climate “scientists” are usually set much further into the future. So when they fail so epically, the “scientists” have usually spent the intervening years massaging their models to hide how much of an epic fail their entire branch of “science” has been.
The only thing worse than either climate forecasting or economic forecasting, is making economic policies based on climate forecasts.
If you derive value from my work, please consider donating some value my way. You can find all the details on the donation page.
Podcast asks is there something to learn from the Israeli Healthcare system?
/
RSS Feed
Today’s podcast covers my recent experiences with the Israeli health system. I think there is a lot to learn: from booking a GP visit online; the efficiencies of the online systems for booking and results; fewer support staff than I remember from the UK; quick appointments.
The whole system isn’t perfect but even though the cost is somewhat obscured to the user at the point of delivery (just like in the UK system), to my eyes it seems to be run comparatively well.
Even though I’m nervous about my entire medical records being online, I must admit they make the entire system much more efficient and it is great to get emails a few hours after a complex test with a link to the full results.
What do you think? Leave comments below here on brianoflondon.me.
011 Podcast holds demonstration in Cairo from July 29 2005
/
RSS Feed
In this week’s edition of Shire Network News, the official podcast of Silent Running, Our Man in London brings us up to date on how the cops cornered and tasered one of the tube bombing suspects only hours after a particularly clueless Muslim cleric in Birmingham insisted there was no evidence Muslims were involved. Andrew says moderate Muslims are really starting to make their voices heard, and the local (Muslim) MP has called for the cleric to be sacked.
As always we bring you the Full of Crap Report from Laurence Simon, and our feature interview this week is with Egyptian blogger Big Pharaoh, who along with his buddy Egyptian Sandmonkey responded to the Sharm El-Sheikh bombings by staging an anti-terrorist demonstration in Cairo. An anti-terrorist demonstration in Cairo!
Okay, it was relatively small, and they were eventually moved on by the police, and bureaucracy appears to have stymied their efforts to hold an even bigger protest at Al Azhar Park, but the Pharaoh says there’s a lot of changes coming in the Middle East, and if you listen to this podcast you’ll hear about some of them. For gods sake don’t miss his ringing personal endorsement of a certain leading Anglospheric political figure!
Oh yeah, some guy called Kiwi Bob shows up and talks about some blog he writes for. It’s called Silent Running or something. I’ve never heard of it, personally.
If you derive value from my work, please consider donating some value my way. You can find all the details on the donation page.
You must be logged in to post a comment.